Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

 

 

Month 2

Month 5

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Commissioning & Communities

697

570

(127)

Vacancies and savings in Home to School Transport

Education & Learning

663

370

(293)

 

Family Help & Protection

2,368

1,311

(1,057)

Savings on high cost placements, vacancies and ongoing spending controls

Public Health

0

0

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(350)

(320)

30

 

Total Families, Children & Wellbeing

3,378

1,931

(1,447)

 

Adult Social Care

1,771

1,912

141

Increased demand in Community Care Physical & Sensory Support, specifically Home Care & Nursing Care

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

2,666

2,381

(285)

Increased demand has been more than offset by increased grant and S117 funding.

Integrated Commissioning

36

42

6

 

Housing People Services

6,749

6,135

(614)

£400k relates to savings from relocating 45 units of spot provision to more cost-effective BB accommodation. The remaining savings result from reduced staffing costs due to vacancies.

Homes & Investment

(8)

(10)

(2)

Fines initiative ended and savings in staff costs

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,856)

(3,029)

(1,173)

Further savings and mitigations identified to offset overspend above

Total Homes & Adult Social Care

9,358

7,431

(1,927)

 

City Infrastructure

(2,327)

(2,014)

313

Net impact of ensuring essential safety works are completed on the City's highways.

Environment & Culture

858

287

(571)

Revised income forecasts from outdoor events resulting in a £0.028m pressure. £0.220m improvement in Sports Facilities from revised contract variations and switch funding of DRF to borrowing. Revised Seafront services forecasts reflecting improved incomes and vacancies of £0.121m. Other improvements across the services from other held vacancies and expenditure controls.

Environmental Services

498

411

(87)

Updated salary forecasts

Place

347

198

(149)

Improved income within Planning Services of £0.304m as a result of BNG grant award offsetting costs and forecasted increases in internally generated planning pre application and application fees. Offset by an underachievement of in within the Architecture service.

Digital Innovation

(250)

(525)

(275)

Increased underspend in salary costs due to vacancy controls, particularly in Traded Services where vacancies are now forecast to be kept for the full year (previously forecast as vacant for 6 months). Some further underspend in Contracts costs.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

(150)

(150)

Introduction of recovery measures at month 5.

Total City Operations

(874)

(1,793)

(919)

 

Cabinet Office

0

(169)

(169)

Combination of underspends in subscriptions to organisations (£0.102m) staffing savings and small underspends in service

Corporate Leadership Office

21

84

63

 

Finance & Property

1,994

3,372

1,378

Movement is a result of pressure in WRBS £0.350m ( staffing £0.300m and £0.050m DWP income shortfall) as well as the transfer of £0.500m to the FRP line in respect of contract recovery, previously reported as part of the service forecast.

Governance & Law

(303)

(429)

(126)

Improvement in income generation in Legal Services including a £0.166m recovery from TruckCartel. which has been offset mainly by the downward revision of Local Land Charges forecasted income. 

People & Innovation

486

(72)

(558)

Combination of forecast income generation and staffing savings as a result of holding vacancies in HSFBS £0.487m and small savings in HR and Innovation services.

Contribution to Orbis

0

67

67

Overspend in partnership operational budget and budget gap.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

(1,500)

(1,500)

The FRP includes a £0.500m expected contract recovery costs, application of redistributed funds following the closure of the Coast to Capital LEP, and further expected improvements of £0.400m across Finance & Property, including a review of income streams from the council’s property portfolio, property maintenance budgets and further general improvements across the service..

Total Central Hub

2,198

1,353

(845)

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

0

195

195

Forecast increase in value of settled claims.

Capital Financing Costs

(500)

(2,215)

(1,715)

In-year borrowing has been delayed to avoid committing to current elevated borrowing rates as long as possible, which while limiting investment returns, will reduce in year borrowing costs.

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

0

0

0

 

Unringfenced Grants

0

0

0

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

600

915

315

Increase in pressure on benefit for vulnerable tenants which is not fully subsidised.

Other Corporate Items

1,326

1,589

263

Review of unachieved functional alignment savings from 2024/25.

Total Centrally-held Budgets

1,426

484

(942)

 

Total General Fund

15,486

9,406

(6,080)